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All Games Project
Blog to document my yearlongish journey to play and complete every core series Pokémon beginning September 29, 2019 and ending January 31, 2020.
Saturday, August 19, 2023
Sunday, March 27, 2022
2022 Oscar Predictions
For the last few years I have built and published on NIHF.com the results of an aggregate model I made for predicting the winners of each Academy Award. This year I am a little late to updating my model and the site has not been covering the Awards Season as dedicatedly as in past years (In all honestly I am probably significantly responsible for that). Anyways I have updated my model at this the 11th hour before the ceremony and still want to share the model results with the world, so in a change of pace I will publish on my personal blog alone. If you are guessing against any friends or co-workers then I encourage using my model. It has a 76% success rate across all categories, which is very good! On this page I will share each nominee and their percent likelihood of winning. Anyways here are the model results! Good luck!
Best Picture
CODA |
49.55% |
The Power of the Dog |
39.04% |
Belfast |
3.60% |
Drive My Car |
2.10% |
Dune |
2.10% |
Licorice Pizza |
1.80% |
All Other Nominees |
1.80% |
Best Actress-In a Leading Role
Jessica Chastain |
64.56% |
Penélope Cruz |
16.22% |
Kristen Stewart |
7.21% |
Nicole Kidman |
6.31% |
Olivia Colman |
5.71% |
Best Actor-In a Leading Role
Will Smith |
81.68% |
Benedict Cumberbatch |
14.11% |
Andrew Garfield |
3.00% |
Denzel Washington |
0.90% |
Javier Bardem |
0.30% |
Actress-In Supporting Role
Ariana DeBose |
80.80% |
Kirsten Dunst |
9.91% |
Aunjanue Ellis |
5.88% |
Judi Dench |
2.79% |
Jessie Buckley |
0.62% |
Actor-In Supporting Role
Troy Kotsur |
78.33% |
Kodi Smit-McPhee |
18.89% |
Jesse Plemons |
1.24% |
Ciaran Hinds |
1.24% |
J.K. Simmons |
0.31% |
Directing
Jane Campion |
85.67% |
Steven Spielberg |
6.23% |
Kenneth Branagh |
3.74% |
Ryusuke Hamaguchi |
2.49% |
Paul Thomas Anderson |
1.87% |
Writing-Adapted Screenplay
CODA |
50.75% |
The Power of the Dog |
36.94% |
The Lost Daughter |
5.97% |
Drive My Car |
4.85% |
Dune |
1.49% |
Writing-Original Screenplay
Belfast |
47.94% |
Licorice Pizza |
34.83% |
Don’t Look Up |
13.86% |
The Worst Person In The World |
2.62% |
King Richard |
0.75% |
International Film
Drive My Car |
81.78% |
The Worst Person in the World |
11.86% |
Flee |
5.08% |
The Hand of God |
0.85% |
Lunana: A Yak in the Classroom |
0.42% |
Documentary Feature
Summer of Soul |
78.81% |
Flee |
17.80% |
Attica |
2.54% |
Ascension |
0.42% |
Writing with Fire |
0.42% |
Animated Feature Film
Encanto |
77.34% |
The Mitchells vs the Machines |
14.84% |
Flee |
5.08% |
Luca |
2.34% |
Raya and the Last Dragon |
0.39% |
Production Design
Dune |
66.83% |
Nightmare Alley |
26.13% |
The Tragedy of Macbeth |
4.02% |
West Side Story |
2.51% |
The Power of the Dog |
0.50% |
Film Editing
Dune |
51.30% |
tick, tick... BOOM! |
18.13% |
The Power of the Dog |
18.13% |
King Richard |
10.88% |
Don't Look Up |
1.55% |
Cinematography
Dune |
56.22% |
The Power of the Dog |
34.56% |
West Side Story |
5.53% |
The Tragedy of Macbeth |
2.76% |
Nightmare Alley |
0.92% |
Visual Effects
Dune |
83.41% |
Spider-Man: No Way Home |
5.69% |
Free Guy |
5.21% |
Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings |
2.84% |
No Time To Die |
2.84% |
Costume Design
Cruella |
82.35% |
Dune |
14.22% |
West Side Story |
2.45% |
Nightmare Alley |
0.49% |
Cyrano |
0.49% |
Sound
Dune |
81.31% |
West Side Story |
9.60% |
No Time To Die |
8.08% |
The Power of the Dog |
1.01% |
Belfast |
0.00% |
Music-Original Song
No Time To Die |
60.76% |
Dos Oruguitas |
32.91% |
Be Alive |
4.64% |
Down to Joy |
0.84% |
Somehow You Do |
0.84% |
Music-Original Score
Dune |
76.04% |
The Power of the Dog |
16.13% |
Encanto |
5.99% |
Don’t Look Up |
0.92% |
Parallel Mothers |
0.92% |
Makeup and Hairstyling
The Eyes of Tammy Faye |
78.42% |
Cruella |
9.47% |
Dune |
9.47% |
House of Gucci |
1.58% |
Coming 2 America |
1.05% |
Short Film-Live Action
The Long Goodbye |
63.33% |
Please Hold |
16.11% |
Ala Kachuu: Take and Run |
11.67% |
On My Mind |
5.56% |
The Dress |
3.33% |
Short Film-Animated
Robin Robin |
75.00% |
The Windshield Wiper |
11.05% |
Bestia |
5.81% |
Boxballet |
5.23% |
Affairs of the Art |
2.91% |
Documentary Short Subject
The Queen of Basketball |
49.42% |
Audible |
37.79% |
Lead Me Home |
7.56% |
Three Songs for Benazir |
4.65% |
When We Were Bullies |
0.58% |
Saturday, April 4, 2020
Covid-19 Farm - Year 1 Days 2 & 3 of Spring
On a rainy day 3 of Spring Rona decided to try her luck at casting a line. She made a hike up into the mountains and caught about 10 fish before taking her haul home and heading to the beach to fish some more. There she found what looked to be a fossilized sea creature. She wasn't sure what it was and hopes she can find someone in Pelican Town that can tell her about it!
Tomorrow Rona will likely begin planning her next plot of crops now that she has some money for more seeds!
Thursday, April 2, 2020
Covid-19 Farm - Year 1 Day 1 of Spring
Rona is my farmer. She has never felt she belonged which may be due to her brilliantly blue skin. She is hoping she will be able to find a place for herself among the people of Pelican Town so that she can finally have a place that feels like home. On her first day in the Valley she planted 15 Parsnip seeds, 5 Green Bean Starters, and 8 Mixed seeds she found. She also chopped wood, foraged for spring onions and other items for energy, and met each resident of Pelican Town she ran into, except for Haley who was too involved with her photography to notice her.
Tomorrow Rona thinks she will chop more wood so that she has more building supplies and she will attempt to meet more of the Valley Residents. She also still has not yet explored the northern regions of the valley. (Also my in game volume was a little loud so I will be turning that down a bit....)
Day 186 - Finished Emerald and on to Crystal
Not the LEGO content I am referring to, but a blending of those two things... Credit: Bricksafe.com |
I have not updated the Emerald page or made a page for Crystal yet, but I should have time to do that this weekend. As suggested in my previous post, due to Covid-19 quarantine I have more time for projects right now so I am branching out this site and its auxiliary locations such as the YouTube channel with additional and variable content. This will include a daily Stardew Valley live stream for the duration of my quarantine, as well as some LEGO content inspired by LEGO Masters on FOX. I hope you will enjoy and check it out!
Friday, March 20, 2020
Day 172 - Clearly I Have Not Been Posting
As far as Pokémon goes... I am still doing my challenge, but I am behind and I have not been posting. I should have finished Pokémon Emerald two weeks, but I am stuck on the post-game captures and training needs. In reality I should have finished another game in those two weeks but given everything going on there is no way I would've finished that game (Colosseum, which was one of my stretch goal games anyways). I might come back to it, but after I finish Emerald this weekend I will move straight to Crystal. Anyways, I am behind, but still going even if super casually for now.
I might catch up with Pokémon later, but right now I am choosing not to worry about it. My life is unfortunately stressful right now and I have not had the time or energy for a lot of the things I want to spend time with lately. So Pokémon might be he most responsible thing for me to "sacrifice" but as far as I keep playing I will keep posting updates and occasional other things on this site. I might expand beyond purely Pokémon content as well, just to keep things casual and relaxed I will focus on things that bring me joy. I hope you can understand.
Saturday, February 29, 2020
Day 152 - Game Over
Thank you sole regular reader. I am grateful for your dedicated patronage here on my blog.